Saturday, January 28, 2012
How People Trying to be Like Jimmer are Ruining Basketball
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Breaking down the contenders and the pretenders
Today, I look at the Northwest Division teams. I will ignore teams that, in my opinion are already hopelessly out of it.
Oklahoma City Thunder:
What I like:
It's easy to just put "Kevin Durrant" here and be done. Put that is not all there is to this team. They have a lot that I really like. I really like Kendrick Perkins and Serge IBLOCKa up front. They compliment each other well. Perkins is a lockdown post defender. Serge is a guy who can guard the fleet footed athletes, and also provide excellent help. Additionally, big Perk might be the best screen setter in the league. That skill is undervalued as far as what it does for an offense. The bench is nice with a guy who can get his own offense (James Harden), a long range bomber (Daequan Cook), a steady backup point guard (Eric Maynor, until he went down for the year), and a couple of decent bench bigs (Nazr Mohammed and Nick Collison). It should be mentioned that Thabo is a top wing defender and Westbrook is a scoring guard to take pressure off Durrant.
What I don't like:
They don't have a great individual rebounder. Kevin Durrant leads the team, and Serge Ibaka is decent. As long as you rebound well as a team, you are ok. But the Thunder have a negative differential right now. That needs to be improved come playoff time when every possession becomes more critical.
Adding a better post scorer to come off the bench would help as well.
Utah Jazz:
What I like:
This team is like the Denver Broncos in that they defy logic in winning games sometimes. They are deep, with a nice mix of young and veteran talent. They are winning games that they should, which is something that Jazz teams in recent years struggled with at times. This team is a few years away from really contending, but this nice start has been a pleasant surprise to fans.
What I don't like:
While the team is an impressive 6-1 at home, they are 2-3 on the road. The schedule will get brutal down the stretch and it will be difficult to keep afloat. This team is just to average in so many ways to really compete. I predict they will finish right around .500 and maybe sneak into the playoffs.
Portland TrailBlazers:
What I like:
LaMarcus Aldridge is really putting it together and becoming the star that made him worthy of the 2nd pick in 2006. Gerald Wallace continues to be the all-around player he has been over his career. Still boggles my mind that this guy was once a third string player on the Kings. Wesley Matthews is as blue-collar as they get. Nicholas Batum and Jamal Crawford provide a nice scoring punch off the bench.
What I don't like:
Painfully thin up in the front court. The center position is manned by the ancient Kurt Thomas and Marcus Camby. Can that duo last an entire year? Raymond Felton's shooting is atrocious. And he keeps jacking up shots at an 11+ per game clip. Hard to see the Blazers as anything more than a one hit wonder come playoff time. Still, have to give the team credit for holding it together with the loss of Brandon Roy.
Denver Nuggets:
What I like:
I love the depth and balance of the Nuggets. With five guys averaging in double figures, defenses have to pick their poison. They also have a nice blend of strengths to keep opponents honest. I love to see them leading the league in assists, after years of seeing the ball be passed to Carmelo and watching him do his thing. Denver isn't the biggest team around, but they will be a tough out come playoff time.
What I don't like:
Who is the closer? Who takes the game by the horns when its their for the taking? I am not sure Ty Lawson or Danilo Gallinari are that type of player yet.
Monday, January 16, 2012
Dirk Nowitzki v Kobe Bryant: Motivation
Kobe v Dirk
Motivation
The NBA is filled with stories, will Deron Williams stay in New Jersey/Brooklyn, the Dwight Howard saga continues, Bosh’s GQ blip about Wade needing to take the last shot and B.J. Mullens is an emerging star in the NBA. The NBA is a different animal in that most of the excitement happens away from the court instead of on it. At times on the court stories are buried, or not even thought of. However, there are two on the court stories going on right now one nationally known, and the other flying under the radar. The first story is about Kobe Bryant’s video game stats, and the other is Dirk Nowitzki becoming a role player. These stories are similar in one respect, motivation.
Kobe Bryant
During the off season, Phil Jackson came out and said that Kobe could not win without more help on his team. On ESPN, Kobe was rated the seventh best player in the NBA by the fans. We heard more and more about his failing knees, he had surgery to repair those issues, and how he was losing his athleticism. The criticism of the super-star was becoming endless and this after completing three finals runs in a row before being dispatched in embarrassing fashion by the champion Dallas Mavericks.
All of this criticism led Kobe to one motivation; to prove that he is still the best. In the past five games he is averaging 39ppg with 5.4 rpg and 4.6 apg. He is doing all of that on 50% shooting from the field and nearly 30 shot attempts per games as well. He is also playing 41 mpg during that stretch. Here are his season stats thus far this season
14 GP
14 GS
37.7 MPG
11.6-25.1 FGMA
.464 FG%
1.1-4.5 3MA
.254 3FG%
7.6-9.1 FTMA
.835 FT%
1.0 OR
4.9 DR
5.9 TR
5.4 APG
.4 BPG
1.2 SPG
2.3 PF
3.9 TO
32.0 PPG
His points per game totals are the second highest of his career, his shot attempts per game are also the second highest of his career. Usually when Kobe has this many shot attempts the Lakers tend to lose games. However, they are 3-1 in their last four games. He has scored 40 plus points in each of those contests. If Kobe continues on this tear he could wind up averaging over 40mpg for the season. His most since the 06-07 season. In a compressed 66 game schedule this will have a lingering effect, especially for a player that has played in over 1300 career regular and post season games for his career.
Dirk Nowitzki
Last year Dirk finally got his title after 13 years in the NBA. He exercised a lot of demons and answered criticisms of not being clutch enough, not being good enough to win a title. The pressure has been lifted so to say. For the first time in his career he did not spend his whole offseason getting criticized. He came into the season a little bit more out of shape than he normally does.
The lockout effected this a little bit, but there is a curiousness of his play and how he is being used, and how he is using himself. In about every statistical category Dirk is at almost career lows. Here are this season stats.
13 GP
30.1 MPG
6.5-13.8 FGMA
.469 FG%
0.4-1.9 3MA
.200 3FG%
4.4-4.8 FTMA
.905 FT%
5.2 RPG
2.50 APG
.50 BPG
.9 SPG
2.2 PF
1.6 TO
17.7 PPG
His points per game, minutes per game, field goals attempted are all the least since his sophomore season. There is no doubt he is not a declining player. He only made a game winner against the Celtics in which he drove the lane and came up with an and 1, he took a much younger and quicker Kevin Durant. Here are the videos to prove it
Boston Game Winner
Taking Kevin Durant (0:20)
So it appears like he still has moves so why are his stats so low? It is one thing motivation. Last year he proved he was among the best players in the world as he dispatched the best players in the world from the playoffs. This year his motivation is getting back to the playoffs and being fresh for another deep run.
The Mavs have put themselves in position to make it so Dirk does not have to carry the load as much this season. They added tons of PF depth in Lamar Odom and they still have Shawn Marion who can play the position as well. Dirk’s minutes per game are at 30.1, which is about 7 minutes per game less than Kobe. Over the course of the 66 game schedule that is like playing in 10 extra games for Kobe Bryant.
Dirk also recognizes that this team has a lot of turnover from the championship roster. He knows that it will be imperative especially in a condensed schedule to make sure his new teams are full acclimated to what the Mavs do. If this means he acts as a decoy for the regular season then he will do it. He will be there when they need him most, as evidence of the Celtics game.
These two superstars definitely have their motivations for this season. One is out to re-prove himself as the best in the world. The other on top of the NBA right now wants to ensure that he can get there again.
Sunday, January 15, 2012
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Saturday, January 14, 2012
Andrew Bynum's Audition
Kobe Bryant has gone jaw-face over the last three games. He is clearly in F-U mode as he tries to prove to the fans, his peers, and himself that he still has "it". After the first of his 40 point games he said "Not bad for the seventh best player in the league". The moral of the story: Kobe is the hardest working player in the NBA and when he is criticized, he works even harder.
Kobe's recent seven game stretch is more than just a way to help prove his own worth, but is also his attempt to make his team better. He is sending a message to Dwight Howard saying "Look at what I can do without you, imagine what I could do with you?". As Kobe leads the Lakers ahead of the other teams in the running for Dwight, he wants to narrow Dwight's vision to LA, and only LA. If Dwight insists on moving to LA, the Magic will be in a similar situation to Denver last year. They will have to take what LA offers, or risk losing everything. This would give LA all of the leverage and could include a simple trade of Dwight and one unwanted Magic contract for Bynum.
The only wild-card in this scenario is Otis Smith. He has proven that he will do something, for the sake of simply doing it. He has acted emotionally and has ignored common sense. If Otis develops a "down with the ship" attitude, all of this could go up in smoke. While this could easily fall apart, I don't think it will.
What is the one thing that Shaq and Dwight have in common, besides the nickname? Ego, they care about being stars as much as they do about basketball. Andrew Bynum has proven over the last three games that he doesn't have ego. Shaq would have complained during a similar stretch, Andrew has had decent stats (13 pts, 9.3 rebs, 53.3 % shooting, over the last three games) and has kept his mouth shut about having diminished touches.
If Orlando is trying to avoid the mistakes of their past in Shaq and Howard, they need someone without the baggage of stardom. Bynum is that player. He might actually be willing to stay in Orlando and let the team build around him. He has the post skills that Patrick Ewing, Orlando's assistant coach, could work with to make him an elite big in the league-something that Dwight doesn't have. Dwight relies entirely on his athleticism. What happens when he loses it? Bynum could have a much longer career. Bynum's injury riddled past, while still a risk, would make him a cheaper player than Dwight and would help the Magic in the long run avoid the steep luxury tax penalties that are coming into effect. Bynum has been auditioning for the Magic for the last three games.
If Bynum wants to stay in LA, he needs to start complaining. If Dwight wants the star treatment, LA is the place to be.